Positive And Negative Roulette System

Posted By admin On 19.05.21

The Labouchere system can be used for any bet however, our tip to you is that it is most often used on low risk roulette bets so bear this in mind! Arguably one of the most famous betting systems, the Martingale system is an aggressive negative progression system. Aug 19, 2014 Ok so the general consensus mainly amongst VB or AP players is roulette can’t be beaten by playing a system because it is a negative expectation game so in.

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According to your blackjack software tables, both the Unified Gaming and Boss Media systems give the player a slight edge. If this is so, how can the casinos that use these software systems turn a profit? Is it because relatively few players use basic strategy and/or good money management techniques?

Online casinos are not the only ones to offer positive expectation games. Using basic strategy some Las Vegas casinos offer games with a negative house edge. There are video poker games all over the country with a positive expectation assuming optimal strategy. The reason the casinos can afford to do this is that the vast majority of players make errors in strategy. As someone who has played hundreds of hours of blackjack in casinos all over the U.S., I seldom see other players playing proper basic strategy. Money management has nothing to do with it.

Are you saying that in the long run you will lose at every casino game no matter what you do?

With the exception of rare positive expectation opportunities in blackjack and video poker, yes, that is what I'm saying.

First of all, thanks for providing reliable gambling info. You are one of only about four or five sites on the net doing so. In your opinion, is it possible that a mathematically sound method (card counting etc.) could ever be devised to give a positive expectation in baccarat? There has recently been some speculation (and wild claims) on the bj21 and other gambling forums.

Thanks for the compliment. I address the vulnerability to card counting in my baccarat appendix 2. To make a long story short, no, baccarat is not countable unless you use a computer.

I have read a couple of articles about 'Parrando's Paradox.' Is there a way that you could explain what is going on as it is extremely counter-intuitive that two losing games played in a certain sequence could add up to a winner. I thought I understood the mathematics of gambling / probability! I can see that there is a subtle link between games A & B as game B is dependent on capital that is affected by game A; I am unable to carry the logic any further. Does Parrando's Paradox have any implications for negative expectation casino gamblers? I doubt it but would love to hear it from someone with a greater understanding.

Parrando's Paradox states that two sub-optimal games of chance can show a long-term gain if played alternately. However the games can not be independent of each other, which eliminates any comparison to casino games.

Have you ever considered the impact of commissions (i.e. junket players get a commission based on turnover)? Although they require a lot of capital to begin with, commissions reduce house odds. I've done some calculations and it seems as though (if you play say basic strategy in blackjack) you can get slight odds in your favor (even without counting cards!). Have you done such calculations before and if so, what was the result?

Assuming you could get paid for your play then yes, it would be very possible to make a profit from playing junkets, depending on if the commission is more than the expected loss gambling. I've heard of a professional gamblers exploiting such offers in Asian casinos.

For those games which returns higher than 100%, have you thought of writing computer programs to play against them? I saw this idea mentioned somewhere else so I bet you must have known it. What is the problem with it then? No big return? Too many people have already done it? Casinos can easily find out and bar you?

Positive And Negative Roulette System Chart

I addressed robot players in the September 20, 2001 column. Assuming you could create a robot then it should do well against a game with over 100% return. However I would recommend programming it to play at a human speed and reasonable sitting times. Some online casinos have been known to blame players for using robots even when they weren’t, as an excuse not to pay in my opinion.

I know you say that betting strategies don’t work because of the negative expectation built in to most games but what about when the player has the advantage? Do betting strategies work under these conditions?

Yes! If the player had the advantage a betting system could not help but work in the long run. The reason is the house/player advantage is immutable. Betting systems can not change it.

On a recent Travel Channel show about Las Vegas whales, they surprised me with the statement that casinos sometimes offer loss discounts to whales. In other words, the whale plays on credit, and are charged only a percentage of their total losses at the end of a visit. Does this make it possible to set up a positive-expectation game? Would betting systems start to make sense in this context?

Positive and negative roulette system chart

Yes, this is true. It is not unusual for 'whales' to get a 10% rebate on losses. In my opinion this is a very risky offer to make and a sharp player could easily abuse it and gain an advantage. The kind of player who would make an ideal recipient of this offer is one who grinds out a lot of play in a high house edge game. The kind of player who could best exploit this offer is one who plays a low house edge game, for a short time, and with a wide range of bet size. It sounds paradoxical but under this deal the player must lose to gain any benefit. Thus the player should set a high winning goal and relatively low losing goal. If we can ignore the house edge for the sake of example if the winning marker were $1,000,000 and the losing marker $100,000 then the probability of success is 1/11, as I show in a later question. The expected value after the 10% rebate is (1/11)*$1,000,000 + (10/11)*(0.9*-100,000) = +$9091. A good strategy to achieve a high winning goal quickly would be something like an anti-martingale, or anything where you bet more after you win.

I was wondering how the house advantage would change if you played 5 hands at a time using basic strategy blackjack and card counting at an online casino. Let me explain. I know the deck is shuffled with each hand, however you can count the cards of all hands leading up to the last hand - the 5th hand. You can then use this information to help you modify your basic strategy betting. For example, not doubling down when the count is against you or hitting when you normally should stay. Could this possibly shift the overall odds to the players advantage?

Flat betting and only five spots, I think not. However if you bet seven spots and progressively more on each spot to be played then yes. This is called depth charging and is treated lightly in the book Burning the Tables in Las Vegas by Ian Andersen.

What is the best betting system for a player to use when playing the online casino blackjack games that give the PLAYER the slight edge? Are there any systems when there is a positive player edge that can be used to most effectively gain maximum winnings with minimum chance of losses over the long run? Or would the best system be to bet the same amount consistently and follow the optimum basic strategy (and its exceptions for single deck) for all the hands played?

I would recommend flat betting. The expected return is the same regardless of how you bet, but flat betting is best for minimizing volatility and ensuring bankroll preservation.

Think before you spin

Your guide to negative progression systems.

Curiosity killed the cat...or did it? Roulette is one of the most widely known casino games that has been subjected to many examinations from people hoping to secure big wins. Whilst negative progressions may not guarantee a win they can help you try and claw back your losses. Fancy a try? Head over to our free play roulette page and give them a whirl, fingers crossed you’ll be raking in the wins in no time!

Fibonacci

The Fibonacci system draws inspiration from the famous mathematical sequence discovered by Leonardo Fibonacci. Developed with the shape describing sequence in mind, the Fibonacci system has been used for centuries by players hoping to beat the spinning wheel and is a particular favourite of baccarat players and forex traders.

As a negative progression system, the Fibonacci encourages players to increase bets after a loss to try and reverse and reduce the effects of losses. Unlike certain negative progression systems, the Fibonacci is less aggressive, as your bet after a loss, equals the sum of the two previous bets. Rather than reverting back to your original bet after a win, you go back two numbers,which means you can keep on winning and you can get back to your first bet, before trying to get into the black again.

The Fibonacci system can also bring you back into profit steadily, whilst this may not be as quick as other strategies that cancel out all losses with one large win, the Fibonacci is less vigorous only cancelling two previous losses. We would recommend that you make notes of your sequence and write it as you go, whilst this won’t change your odds it works as a medium risk, in the money management system.

Pros and Cons
Pros include the low level of forcefulness when compared to similar systems, this is also a fairly straightforward system and can be used on any bet (though people tend to use it on high table coverage bets). Like any strategy, this does have some drawbacks, odds are not changed and bets can increase quickly with many losses. It is a slow burner if your starting bet is low and it can take some time to profit.

Labouchere

Invented by Henry Labouchere, the Labouchere system was famously played by James Bond. Nicknamed the Split Martingale, The Cross-Out, The Cancellation System, or simply “The Labby”, this system shares the same concept of negative progression as The Fibonacci. And the Whittacker without being as forceful.

Similar to the Fibonacci and the Martingale roulette systems, Labouchere is a negative progression system encouraging players to increase their bets after a loss to claw back profits. There is also a positive progression version of this system called the Reverse Labouchere.

In a nutshell the Labouchere strategy is a systematic progression where players bet the first and last numbers of their sequence adding on their previous bet after a loss. This does involves some maths but isn’t the most complex system that exists. To play the Labouchere begin by writing out a sequence of numbers, next add the first and last numbers in the sequence together and make the bet. If you lose, move onto the next numbers but add your last bet to the total of this bet. If you win, move onto the next two numbers. You continue through the sequence until you have used all of your numbers or you hit your stop loss limit.

The Labouchere system is flexible in the fact that you can play it high or low risk dependent on the numbers that you include within your sequence. If playing a low risk Labouchere include lots of 1s in your sequence particularly at the beginning and in end. Bear in mind to always decide a stop loss limit before you begin to prevent this system from spiralling out of control.

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Pros and Cons
The pros of the Labouchere system is the flexibility and control it gives a player, it’s you that decides on the risk level and the amount that you want to bet. You are also forced to think about a profit target. Disadvantages include the potential for this to place strain on the wallet if you experience many losses so always set a point of no return or consider a less aggressive system. The Labouchere also does not decrease the overall house edge.

The Labouchere system can be used for any bet however, our tip to you is that it is most often used on low risk roulette bets so bear this in mind!

Martingale

Arguably one of the most famous betting systems, the Martingale system is an aggressive negative progression system. What separates the Martingale from other systems that comes the closest to beating the house. Following a simple concept, this is one of the easiest systems to try rewarding risk with heavy wins and losses.

Similar to the Fibonacci and Labouchere, the Martingale system is a negative progression system. While a player is winning the system doesn’t seem apparent however, once a player starts losing the Martingale comes into play.

The Martingale works like so, a player may place one bet, if the player wins, the player takes their earnings and places the same bet. If the player loses, the player then doubles their previous bet, so if they bet $5.00 they will then bet $10.00, if they bet $10.00 they will bet $20.00 and so on so forth. If they make a second bet and win, they simply use what they need to keep betting and pocket the rest.

This can quickly spiral out of control with significant losses which is why we always advise on pre-setting a budget limit however, a significant advantage is being able to cancel out your losses quickly and effectively.

The Martingale offers a high probability of wins but can put you out of pocket with losses being inevitable in any roulette game. The rigid rule of doubling your bets is a double edged sword. Each win can cancel out all of your previous losses and let you win what you started with. Smaller bets would not always let a player even out their wins and losses whilst larger bets can lead to a hefty blow to your finances.

Pros and Cons
Pros to the Martingale is that it can counter losses, whilst there is no foolproof strategy to beating the wheel, the Martingale offers the opportunity to claw back any losses increasing the likelihood of wins. The Martingale is also a fast strategy that cancels out any losses quickly, the concept is also very simple to follow you don’t need to be a mathematician to try this one.

Positive And Negative Roulette System Reviews

The downsides to the Martingale lie within the risks generated from a potential snowball effect of losses. Whilst one loss may not be too harmful at the start of your game, if you are doubling your bets into the thousands then you can very quickly lose all of your money quickly. The Martingale feeds off of the “all or nothing” mentality using the lure of big wins and cancelled losses to hook in players. Another issue lies within the financial strain, if you have to double your bets there will eventually be a point of no return.

As a top tip from us we recommend using the Martingale system with caution. Quit while you’re winning and accept a smaller profit. Of course it’s your choice as to how you play so here’s our second tip: even-money bets hold the key to maximising the Martingale’s potential. Not sure on what an even-money bet is? Read our roulette guides for our top tips to win...